Kiwi FC vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kiwi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
KIW
0 - 8
SOL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
8 - 0
KIW
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
KIW
0 - 2
WAI
8%
13%
78%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
KIW
4 - 1
MSC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
KIW
3 - 0
GOL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WET
1 - 3
MAG
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAG
12 - 2
USC
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -16 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOP
0 - 0
MAG
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
MAG
3 - 0
LOS
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +17 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAG
0 - 2
DRE
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |