Kiviõli Irbis vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kiviõli Irbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TAM
0 - 3
KIV
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 2
KIV
17%
19%
64%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
KIV
2 - 1
LEV
29%
23%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TIN
4 - 1
KIV
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KIV
8 - 0
FCP
59%
20%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIN
4 - 0
PAR
82%
12%
6%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
TAR
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RAK
5 - 4
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 2
NAV
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
KIV
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |