Kitzbühel vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
6º
3º
28
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
28 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 13 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 12 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 2
KIT
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
KUN
0 - 3
KIT
16%
20%
65%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
KUN
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 1
HAL
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 0
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 2
WAT
11%
15%
74%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
WAT
5 - 0
HAL
80%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 1
WAT
12%
16%
73%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 3
WAT
43%
23%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 0
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |