Kitzbühel vs Telfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
8º
33
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
REI
1 - 2
KIT
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KIT
2 - 0
FUG
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
KIT
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
KIT
2 - 1
KUF
67%
19%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
KIT
1 - 1
REI
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
KUN
2 - 2
TEL
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 4
TEL
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
SCH
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
TEL
2 - 4
SVA
33%
23%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SVA
3 - 0
TEL
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |