Kitzbühel vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
34
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WOR
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 2
KIT
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
5 - 1
VOL
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 1
KIT
22%
20%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
EBB
2 - 1
TEL
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
EBB
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 1
STJ
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
0 - 3
IAC
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
EBB
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |