Kitzbühel vs Kundl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
10º
8º
19
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 1
KIT
76%
15%
10%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
4 - 0
SCH
20%
23%
58%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TEL
3 - 1
KIT
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KIT
0 - 1
REI
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FUG
2 - 0
KIT
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Kundl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MOT
5 - 1
KUN
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
IMS
4 - 1
KUN
92%
7%
2%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
KUN
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 1
KUN
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
REI
3 - 0
KUN
84%
10%
5%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |