Kitzbühel vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FUG
1 - 4
KIT
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 1
ZIR
91%
7%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KIT
2 - 5
TEL
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 2
FCB
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
IMS
2 - 2
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 2
IMS
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
KUN
1 - 0
KIR
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
0 - 2
WAT
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 3
KIR
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 3
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |