Kitzbühel vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
TEL
3 - 1
KIT
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
KIT
1 - 2
STJ
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SKH
0 - 2
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
KIT
2 - 2
HAL
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SVI
2 - 1
KIT
40%
23%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
KIR
2 - 2
MAT
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
KUN
5 - 4
KIR
76%
14%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
KIR
1 - 2
REU
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SVA
2 - 3
KIR
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
KIR
1 - 3
IAC
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |