Kitzbühel vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
16º
14º
53
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BIS
2 - 2
KIT
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 2
KUF
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
KIT
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 3
DOR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 0
KIT
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
IMS
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 1
HOH
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
4 - 1
LAU
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
HOH
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOH
1 - 1
KUC
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |