Kitzbühel vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 3
KIT
22%
22%
55%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIT
0 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ANI
0 - 1
KIT
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KIT
1 - 2
SCR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
KIT
3 - 3
STJ
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
4 - 1
WAL
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KUF
7 - 1
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 1
HOH
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SEE
1 - 1
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
FCW
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |