Kitzbühel vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
USC
4 - 2
KIT
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
3 - 1
KUF
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +3 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FCW
2 - 2
KIT
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
2 - 1
ANI
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 2
DOR
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 1
STJ
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
USC
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KUF
3 - 1
HAR
48%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FCW
42%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 0
HAR
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |