Kitzbühel vs Volders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
43
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 4
KIT
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KIT
2 - 1
TEL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 2
KIT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KIT
3 - 2
IAC
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Volders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 1
FCV
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 1
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 4
FCV
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
VOL
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IAC
2 - 3
FCV
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |