Kitchee Reserve vs Southern District Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
PEG
0 - 3
KIT
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
KIT
4 - 1
GUA
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
WTP
3 - 2
KIT
14%
16%
70%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
YLO
0 - 3
KIT
34%
19%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SCH
0 - 6
KIT
12%
15%
74%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
ESA
32%
21%
47%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
RRE
3 - 5
SOU
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 0
WFR
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
SCH
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 2
RRE
4%
8%
88%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | +6 |