Kitchee Reserve vs Citizen AA Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kitchee Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
YLO
4 - 2
KIT
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 2
KIT
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
KIT
0 - 0
PEG
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
KIT
0 - 5
DRE
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
TMR
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
YLO
0 - 7
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 5
ESA
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -2 |