Kisvárda II vs FC Hatvan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
6º
30
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
79% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
77.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kisvárda II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 2
KMG
64%
21%
14%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
KMG
2 - 1
CIG
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KMG
3 - 1
FUZ
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TIS
1 - 0
KMG
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KMG
1 - 0
PUT
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
FC Hatvan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
DEB
36%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 0
FCH
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 3
KAR
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CIG
1 - 1
FCH
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 1
FUZ
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |