Kirchbichl vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RUI
1 - 1
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
3 - 2
JEN
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SVL
1 - 1
KIR
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SVA
3 - 0
KIR
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
0 - 3
SVK
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -3 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 4
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SVK
2 - 1
WOR
9%
17%
75%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 2
KUN
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
SVI
1 - 1
WOR
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | -4 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
WOR
2 - 1
IAC
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |