Kirchbichl vs Völs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
16º
15º
52
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
KIR
81%
14%
5%
|
16 | 62 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KIR
0 - 2
SVI
58%
20%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 3
FCV
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WBO
2 - 2
KIR
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 1
SVM
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Völs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
4 - 1
KEM
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 3
STJ
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
VOL
32%
22%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 1
VOL
80%
15%
5%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
5 - 1
SVI
80%
12%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |