Kirchbichl vs Telfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
SVK
2 - 5
KIR
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
KIR
2 - 1
MAT
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KIR
2 - 2
SVI
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KIR
1 - 0
KIT
54%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KIR
5 - 1
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TEL
6 - 2
STJ
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
KUN
3 - 2
TEL
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TEL
3 - 2
KEM
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
AXG
1 - 1
TEL
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
REI
2 - 2
TEL
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |