Kirchbichl vs Telfs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
0 - 2
JEN
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FUG
0 - 3
KIR
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 1
SVL
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 2
KIR
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 0
IAC
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Telfs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TEL
0 - 0
FUG
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SVL
5 - 2
TEL
38%
25%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
TEL
1 - 4
SVA
62%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
TEL
3 - 4
HAL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
IAC
4 - 1
TEL
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |