Kirchbichl vs Mils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
13.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
KIR
1 - 1
FCS
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
KEM
2 - 4
KIR
56%
20%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KIR
1 - 1
FUG
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
SVI
4 - 1
KIR
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
KIR
1 - 1
WAT
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SCM
3 - 2
KEM
25%
20%
55%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
FUG
1 - 1
SCM
56%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SCM
0 - 2
SVI
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
WAT
7 - 0
SCM
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCM
1 - 2
KUN
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |