Kirchbichl vs Reutte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
MOT
1 - 2
KIR
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
KIR
1 - 2
SCH
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SVI
3 - 0
KIR
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
KIR
3 - 0
HAL
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
KUN
1 - 1
KIR
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Reutte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
REU
1 - 1
FUG
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 0
REU
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
REU
2 - 0
KIT
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
4 - 1
REU
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
REU
1 - 3
REI
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |