Kirchbichl vs Kitzbühel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KIR
5 - 1
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
STJ
3 - 1
KIR
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
KIR
3 - 2
KUN
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
KIR
3 - 2
KEM
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
KIT
1 - 4
KIR
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kitzbühel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
KIT
3 - 0
STJ
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
KUN
1 - 2
KIT
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
KIT
0 - 5
KEM
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
AXG
1 - 6
KIT
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
KIT
1 - 4
KIR
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |