Kirchbichl vs Kematen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
KIR
15%
18%
68%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 1
HAL
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
KUN
1 - 3
KIR
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
4 - 0
MAT
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
FUG
1 - 3
KIR
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KEM
3 - 3
WAT
58%
20%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 0
KEM
20%
22%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KEM
4 - 2
SVI
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
VOL
1 - 3
KEM
19%
19%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KEM
3 - 0
JEN
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |