Kirby Muxloe vs AFC Mansfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
67.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirby Muxloe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
0 - 2
DUN
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
4 - 2
BAR
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
1 - 2
BOS
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 2
LER
12%
17%
71%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LER
0 - 0
KIR
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
BOS
24%
20%
56%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
RUS
1 - 2
MAN
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
RUS
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
6 - 2
DUN
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
QUO
1 - 3
MAN
43%
21%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |