Irish Cup Northern Ireland 1/16
Global 2-7
Kilmore Rectory vs Dunmurry Recreation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmore Rectory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DRF
2 - 2
KRF
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BAL
4 - 0
KRF
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
BAL
4 - 1
KRF
92%
7%
2%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
KRF
1 - 0
BOB
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dunmurry Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DRF
2 - 2
KRF
36%
24%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
INS
6 - 0
DRF
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | 0 |