Kilmarnock vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
KIL
4 - 1
CWB
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
KIL
1 - 1
FAL
60%
18%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1933 |
QUE
1 - 2
KIL
68%
16%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
CLY
0 - 1
KIL
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1933 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
35%
22%
43%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1933 |
FAL
3 - 3
TLA
57%
19%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1933 |
PAR
2 - 2
TLA
62%
18%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1933 |
TLA
1 - 1
MHE
41%
22%
38%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
TLA
3 - 1
CWB
69%
15%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
AYR
1 - 0
TLA
43%
21%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |