Kilmarnock vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1920 |
KIL
3 - 2
AIR
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
KIL
2 - 0
RAI
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
KIL
2 - 3
CEL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1920 |
DUN
3 - 2
KIL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1920 |
FAL
1 - 0
KIL
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1920 |
QUE
2 - 0
TLA
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1920 |
TLA
1 - 0
DUM
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1920 |
HOM
1 - 1
TLA
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1920 |
HAM
0 - 0
TLA
24%
22%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
TLA
1 - 1
AIR
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |