Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
11º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
ABE
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
MHE
2 - 2
KIL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HOM
3 - 1
KIL
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 0
HIB
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
KIL
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
STM
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
STM
3 - 1
ABE
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STM
1 - 1
GLA
18%
24%
57%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
STM
2 - 2
STJ
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ROS
3 - 2
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |