Kilmarnock vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
KIL
2 - 2
DUN
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
AIR
2 - 1
KIL
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
KIL
2 - 1
THE
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
CEL
0 - 0
KIL
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
KIL
3 - 5
AYR
68%
16%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1932 |
STJ
4 - 0
AYR
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CEL
5 - 0
STJ
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
STJ
1 - 0
AIR
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
STM
2 - 0
STJ
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
STJ
3 - 1
CWB
38%
22%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |