Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-7
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
KIL
3 - 0
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
CEL
5 - 0
KIL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
MON
1 - 1
KIL
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
KIL
6 - 0
QUE
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
KIL
2 - 0
STR
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
HIB
2 - 1
HOM
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
ABE
2 - 3
HIB
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
GLA
0 - 1
HIB
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
STJ
1 - 3
HIB
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
HIB
4 - 2
DUN
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |