Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
3º
3º
52
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
MHE
3 - 0
KIL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KIL
3 - 2
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIL
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 0
ROS
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CEL
5 - 1
KIL
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
HOM
2 - 1
STJ
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
HOM
3 - 0
MHE
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 3
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HOM
0 - 1
DUN
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HOM
1 - 2
ABE
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |