Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
12º
11º
48
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 1
KIL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GLA
3 - 1
KIL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
MHE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
KIL
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
3 - 0
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 3
CEL
28%
22%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOM
3 - 0
STJ
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 0
HOM
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |