Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
KIL
2 - 1
GLA
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
KIL
2 - 0
FOR
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MHE
0 - 1
KIL
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
HIB
0 - 1
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |