Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
KIL
1 - 3
GLA
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 0
KIL
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
KIL
2 - 0
STJ
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
KIL
2 - 0
QUE
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 3
KIL
11%
18%
71%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
27%
25%
49%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
26%
24%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
HAM
1 - 4
HOM
27%
28%
44%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
HOM
5 - 0
ICT
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
HOM
5 - 0
CWB
88%
10%
2%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |