Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HIB
1 - 0
KIL
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AYR
0 - 1
KIL
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
KIL
0 - 3
DUN
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
KIL
2 - 1
DUN
66%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 4
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 1
STJ
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ICT
1 - 0
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HOM
5 - 2
STM
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 0
AUC
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |