Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
KIL
1 - 1
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
GLA
3 - 0
KIL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
STM
0 - 2
KIL
36%
30%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
ICT
1 - 3
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 1
STJ
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
HOM
1 - 0
HIB
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
STM
0 - 2
HOM
28%
30%
42%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 1
ICT
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 2
HOM
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |