Scottish Cup Last 16
Global 3-5
Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HOM
3 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HIB
3 - 0
KIL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HOM
3 - 0
KIL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
HOM
2 - 2
KIL
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
MHE
3 - 2
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 2
HOM
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |