Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
KIL
4 - 2
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
KIL
2 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
KIL
0 - 2
GLA
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 3
HOM
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
HOM
1 - 0
ABE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |