Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
ABE
1 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 2
KIL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
KIL
2 - 2
GLA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
KIL
0 - 2
CEL
27%
25%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
MHE
2 - 0
KIL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
HOM
0 - 2
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 3
ICT
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 0
HOM
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |