Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
GLA
1 - 0
KIL
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 2
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CEL
5 - 1
KIL
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 1
HOM
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
MHE
2 - 1
HOM
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |