Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MHE
2 - 0
KIL
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CEL
4 - 2
KIL
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ABE
1 - 2
HOM
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
0 - 0
HOM
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |