Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
TLA
2 - 4
KIL
68%
17%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
KIL
3 - 1
DUN
28%
21%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
MHE
4 - 3
KIL
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
KIL
2 - 2
STJ
46%
22%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1938 |
KIL
2 - 2
FAL
39%
23%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1938 |
AYR
2 - 4
HOM
28%
21%
52%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 1
HOM
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
2 - 4
CEL
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1938 |
HOM
1 - 0
FAL
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |