Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
GLA
8 - 0
KIL
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
ALB
1 - 3
KIL
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
ARB
0 - 0
KIL
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
KIL
0 - 1
MHE
44%
22%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
HIB
0 - 0
KIL
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
HOM
3 - 1
STJ
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
CEL
3 - 2
HOM
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
HOM
5 - 1
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
FAL
3 - 0
HOM
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
HOM
5 - 2
TLA
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |