Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
42.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
GRE
5 - 2
KIL
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1933 |
DUN
3 - 0
KIL
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1933 |
KIL
2 - 6
GLA
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
STJ
6 - 1
KIL
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1933 |
KIL
2 - 4
AIR
75%
14%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
1 - 1
CLY
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 2
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1933 |
MHE
5 - 1
HOM
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
HOM
5 - 2
GRE
77%
14%
10%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
GLA
4 - 4
HOM
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |