Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1926 |
KIL
3 - 0
ABE
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
CWB
1 - 0
KIL
59%
17%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1926 |
MHE
1 - 2
KIL
59%
21%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
CLY
5 - 1
KIL
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
KIL
3 - 3
PAR
61%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
HOM
6 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1926 |
STJ
1 - 1
HOM
35%
23%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1926 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1926 |
DUN
2 - 3
HOM
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
AIR
2 - 2
HOM
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |