Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
ABE
1 - 0
KIL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
AIR
0 - 0
KIL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
KIL
3 - 2
STM
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
MHE
1 - 1
KIL
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
KIL
3 - 0
FAL
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
HOM
3 - 1
AIR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
STM
4 - 1
HOM
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
CLY
0 - 1
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |