Kilmarnock vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1919 |
PAR
4 - 0
KIL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1919 |
KIL
0 - 1
TLA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1919 |
CEL
2 - 1
KIL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1919 |
KIL
5 - 3
CLY
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1919 |
AIR
2 - 2
KIL
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1919 |
HOM
2 - 2
QUE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1919 |
CLY
1 - 3
HOM
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1919 |
HOM
4 - 1
HAM
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1919 |
QUE
4 - 0
HOM
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1919 |
TLA
3 - 1
HOM
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |