Kilmarnock vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CLY
1 - 2
KIL
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
KIL
4 - 0
FAL
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
KIL
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 4
DUN
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
CLY
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |