Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
AYR
2 - 2
KIL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
KIL
4 - 2
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
TLA
3 - 3
KIL
61%
19%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
KIL
1 - 1
ARB
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
FAL
2 - 2
GLA
53%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
ABE
4 - 1
FAL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
FAL
4 - 0
HAM
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
QOS
2 - 0
FAL
35%
22%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1938 |
FAL
0 - 1
HOM
50%
21%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |