Kilmarnock vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1933 |
QUE
1 - 2
KIL
68%
16%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
CLY
0 - 1
KIL
61%
18%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1933 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
35%
22%
43%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
GRE
5 - 2
KIL
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1933 |
DUN
3 - 0
KIL
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1933 |
FAL
2 - 1
GRE
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1933 |
GLA
5 - 1
FAL
73%
15%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1933 |
HOM
3 - 2
FAL
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1933 |
FAL
5 - 0
HAM
42%
21%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1933 |
FAL
2 - 3
QUE
56%
19%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |